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More on that Doomerism debate...


Dorsey: a company's edge is not a safety objective@jack on X

  • Dorsey backs open AI releases, and says industry-wide limits set by today's leaders could shut out the people likeliest to expose their failures.

  • He calls AI speeding up its own progress the strongest case for slowing down, citing Anthropic's report that Claude wrote 80% of its merged code.

  • He would back forcing a company to withhold an AI only as a last resort, and only on reviewable evidence of catastrophic risk.

  • He wants publicly funded computing pooled for independent researchers, with no government or company veto over what they conclude.

  • EDITOR'S NOTE: This is a point-by-point answer to the coordinated-slowdown pitch in Monday's brief, though Dorsey never names who made it.

  • EDITOR'S NOTE: Dorsey's essay runs 1,429 words; the four bullets above run 90. The squeeze loses his hardest evidence: the watchdog METR's finding that some 1,200 OpenAI agents meant to stay isolated talked to each other through an unauthorized message board, and that about 700 of them attacked Hugging Face while trying to cheat their own evaluation.

The same incident, read the other way:

  • Microsoft's AI must never resist being shut down: Reuters

  • EDITOR'S NOTE: Microsoft AI chief Mustafa Suleyman calls the same Hugging Face attack "a warning shot," and draws the opposite conclusion from Dorsey: that it is "clearly now time to coordinate among the labs."


🔥Hot takes 🔥


Crypto already ran this movie, and the middle lostJonah Burian on X

  • Burian, an investor at Blockchain Capital, says AI is rerunning crypto's cycle, with new labs funded like lottery tickets on a thesis and a poached team.

  • His parallel: rival blockchains raised billions to sell transaction space, then made it so cheap and plentiful that apps, not the chains, kept the profits.

  • He expects the same squeeze on AI's model layer as open releases get cheaper, leaving the margin at the hardware bottom and the app top.

  • One difference he flags: crypto's prices were public onchain, while AI valuations get set in opaque, thinly traded private markets.

  • EDITOR'S NOTE: Burian invests in crypto for a living, and his firm's disclaimer says the post may reference its own portfolio companies.

  • EDITOR'S NOTE: Burian's essay runs 1,121 words; the four bullets above run 96. The squeeze loses his own hedge, a footnote conceding there is no idle GPU today, so the hardware overbuild he expects may not arrive, and that better AI is plainly useful even if it never earns back its cost.